Two urns identical in appearance contain respectively 3 green and 2 black balls and 2 green and 5 black…

Two urns identical in appearance contain respectively 3 green and 2 black balls and 2 green and 5 black balls. One urn is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. The probability that it is black is
  1. $\frac{39}{70}$
  2. $\frac{37}{70}$
  3. $\frac{41}{70}$
  4. $\frac{33}{70}$

Solution

There are two urns Urn 1 contains 3 green and 2 black balls. Urn 2 contains 2 green and 5 black balls. Let $A$ be event of selecting black ball. Probability of selecting black ball from urn $1=\frac{2}{5}$ Probability of selecting black ball from urn $2=\frac{5}{7}$ Since, one urn is selected at random hence selecting one urn have probability $\frac{1}{2}$. $ \therefore P(A)=\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{2}{5}+\frac{5}{7}\right)=\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{14+25}{35}\right)=\frac{39}{70} $

Asked in: AP EAMCET 2021 (23 Aug Shift 1)

Practice more Probability questions on Aicharya