There are three bags B 1 ,   B 2 and B 3 . The bag B 1 contains 5 red and 5 green balls, B 2 contains…

There are three bags B1,B2 and B3. The bag B1 contains 5 red and 5 green balls, B2 contains 3 red and 5 green balls, and B3 contains 5 red and 3 green balls, Bags B1,B2 and B3 have probabilities 310,310 and 410 respectively of being chosen. A bag is selected at random and a ball is chosen at random from the bag. Then which of the following options is/are correct?
  1. Probability that the selected bag is B3 and the chosen ball is green equals 310
  2. Probability that the chosen ball is green equals 3980
  3. Probability that the chosen ball is green, given that the selected bag is B3, equals 38
  4. Probability that the selected bag is B3, given that the chosen balls is green, equals 513

Solution

Let us define following events
B1 : Event of selection of bag 1 ( 5 Red, 5 Green)
B2  : Event of selection of bag 2 ( 3 Red, 5 Green)
B3 : Event of selection of bag 3 ( 5 Red, 3 Green)
R= Event of selection of Red ball
G= Event of selection of Green ball
Option (C) :
PGB3=38 (as bag 3 has been selected now total balls in bag 3=8, green ball =3 )
Option (B) :
PG=PB1PGB1+PB2PGB2+PB3PGB3
=310×510+310×58+410×38
=3980
Option (D) :
PB3G=PB3GPG
=PB3PGB3P(G)
=410×383580 PG=3980
=413
Option (A) :
PB3G=PB3PGB3
PB3G=PB3PGB3
=320

Asked in: JEE Advanced 2019 (Paper 1)

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