In a random experiment, a fair die is rolled until two fours are obtained in succession. The probability…

In a random experiment, a fair die is rolled until two fours are obtained in succession. The probability that the experiment will end in the fifth throw of the die is equal to :

  1. 15065
  2. 17565
  3. 22565
  4. 20065

Solution

The probability of getting a 4 in a throw of a die is 16.

The probability of getting other than 4 i.e. 4 i.e. numbers 1, 2, 3, 5& 6 in a single throw of a die is 56.

Total throws done =5.

For the event to be completed in 5th throw, 4th and 5th throw must be 4 . Also, 3rd throw must be other than 4 i.e. 4. Hence, cases for the first two position can be :

Case I : 1st throw must be 4 and 2nd throw must not be 4 i.e. 4

Thus, P44-4-44=16.56.56.16.16=2565.

Case II : 1st throw must not be 4 i.e.  4 and 2nd throw must not be 4 i.e. 4

Thus, P4-4-4-44=56.56.56.16.16=12565.

Case III : 1st throw must not be 4 i.e. 4 and 2nd throw must be 4

Thus, P4-44-44=56.16.56.16.16=2565.

Therefore, probability that experiment will end in the fifth throw given that two fours occurred in succession will be

P44-4-44+P4-44-44+P4-4-4-44

=2565+2565+12565

=17565.

Asked in: JEE Main 2019 (12 Jan Shift 1)

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