In a game, a man wins Rs. 100 if he gets 5 or 6 on a throw of a fair die and loses Rs. 50 for getting any…

In a game, a man wins Rs. 100 if he gets 5 or 6 on a throw of a fair die and loses Rs. 50 for getting any other number on the die. If he decides to throw the die either till he gets a five or a six or to a maximum of three throws, then his expected gain/loss (in rupees) is :
  1. 4003 gain
  2. 4009 gain
  3. 4003 loss
  4. 0

Solution

Probability of success i.e. getting a 5 or 6=Ps=26=13.

So, probability of failure i.e. getting any number other than 5 or 6=Pf=1-Ps=1-13=23.

Let X be the amount that a man wins in a maximum of three throws.

So, X can take values :

Case I : First two throws are 5 or 6, game stops

X=100PX=100=13

Case II : First throw is other than 5 or 6 and second and third throws are 5 or 6, game stops

X=50PX=50=23×13=29

Case III : First two throws are other than 5 or 6 and last throw is 5 or 6

X=0PX=0=23×23×13=427

Case IV : All three throws are other than 5 or 6

X=-150PX=-150=23×23×23=827

Therefore, expected gain or loss

=EX=100×13+50×29+0×427-150×827=0

Asked in: JEE Main 2019 (12 Jan Shift 2)

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