Given that the probability of a man hitting a target with a gun is $\frac{1}{3}$. If he fires 8 times, then…

Given that the probability of a man hitting a target with a gun is $\frac{1}{3}$. If he fires 8 times, then the probability of his hitting the target atleast twice is
  1. $5\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^8$
  2. $1-5\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^8$
  3. $\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^8$
  4. $\left(\frac{3}{8}\right)^4$

Solution

Probability to hit the target $=\frac{1}{3}$ Probability to not hit the target $=1-\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{3}$ Probability to hit the target atleast twice is $ \begin{aligned} & =P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+\ldots+P(8) \\ & =1-[P(0)+P(1)] \\ & =1-\left[\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^8+{ }^8 C_1 \cdot\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^7 \cdot \frac{1}{3}\right] \\ & =1-\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^7 \cdot\left[\frac{2}{3}+8 \cdot \frac{1}{3}\right] \\ & =1-\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^7 \cdot \frac{10}{3}=1-5 \cdot\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^8 \end{aligned} $

Asked in: AP EAMCET 2018 (24 Apr Shift 1)

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