Consider the square in the figure. Let be the points of intersections (dots in the picture) in some order. We say that and are friends if they are adjacent along a row or along a column. Assume that each point has an equal chance of being chosen.

(There are two questions based on , the question given below is one of them)
Let be the probability that a randomly chosen point has many friends, . Let be a random variable such that for , the probability . Then the value of is

