Bag I contains 3 red, 4 black and 3 white balls and Bag II contains 2 red, 5 black and 2 white balls. One…

Bag I contains 3 red, 4 black and 3 white balls and Bag II contains 2 red, 5 black and 2 white balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is draw from Bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be black in colour. Then the probability, that the transferred ball is red, is
  1. 49
  2. 518
  3. 16
  4. 310

Solution

Given,

In bag 13R, 4B & 3W

And in bag 22R, 5B & 2W

Let A: Drawn ball from bag II is black

And let B: Red ball transferred

Now by total probability theorem we have PA=39×510+49×610+39×510=5490

And PAB=39×510

So, by bayes theorem we have, PBA=PABPA

=39×51039×510+49×610+39×510

=1515+24+15=1554=518

Asked in: JEE Main 2022 (29 Jul Shift 2)

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